Jordan 4 Black Cat 2025 oopbuy: a month-by-month timeline

Why a timeline beats a single price tag

Ask five sellers what a Black Cat 4 is worth today and you get five answers, because each one is quoting whatever they listed last. The only method we have found that says anything useful is keeping the date attached to the number. Our index holds 1,711 items across eight categories as of 2026-11-08, and 291 of them sit in the shoes category, which is where nearly every Black Cat listing lands. Comparing a January price with a November price means comparing two different sheets, two different groups of sellers, and in some months two visibly different shapes of shoe.

So this is not a review of the Air Jordan 4 Black Cat, and it is not a release history. We have no retail allocation data and we are not going to invent any. What we do have is a running count of what appeared on the sheets we follow, the price attached to it, and the notes we made about photos. That is enough to explain why your cart total in March looked nothing like your cart total in October. Names of batches, sellers, and prices below are our own observations and nothing more.

January to March: thin stock, wide spreads

The first quarter was thin. Between January and March the Black Cat showed up in single digits most weeks, and the listings that did appear were mostly leftovers from the previous season rather than fresh stock. Two things happen in a thin market: prices hold high because nobody is competing, and the spread between the cheapest and the most expensive listing gets wider because there is no shared reference point. We logged low volume, incomplete size runs, and a surprising number of listings that were pulled before anybody bought them.

The useful lesson from the first quarter was about patience rather than price. If you were buying in February you were paying a premium for scarcity, and there was almost no quality signal to compare against, because hardly anyone was posting a full photo set. We would rather wait for volume than pay a thin-market spread, and we say that knowing it can look like indecision. Three months of spreadsheets taught us that the widest price gaps show up exactly when the fewest sellers are posting.

April to June: volume arrives and the floor drops

Spring changed the picture. Listing counts roughly tripled by May, and for the first time we had enough sellers in a single month to see where the floor actually sat. It was not $58 yet, but it had moved below $70, and the gap between the cheapest and the most expensive listing on the same day was around $30. That gap is the reason this article exists. It is not one market price. It is three different ways of running a listing business.

• Cheapest band ($58-$66): usually one photo, no size tag visible, slow replies to questions.
• Middle band ($66-$78): six to ten photos, size tag shown, stock in three or more sizes.
• Top band ($78-$96): edited photos, a named batch, sizes held for weeks rather than days.

None of those three bands is automatically worse. A seller with one photo can be perfectly fine, and we have seen expensive listings with lazy documentation. The band tells you how much the seller invested in being believed, which is a different question from what the item itself is. We treat the band as a filter that decides how much work we do before we would consider anything, not as a ranking of quality.

July to September: when batch labels start doing the talking

By mid-summer, listings had started to name their batches. A batch label is seller shorthand for a production run, and those labels spread through the sheets faster than any price move. When a label gets popular, three things follow within about a month: the price rises, the number of sellers using the label rises, and the number of sellers using the label without evidence also rises. That third pattern is why we treat batch names as marketing until a photo set backs them up.

We want to be blunt about the limits here. We cannot verify what a batch is, where it came from, or what it is made of. Anyone on a forum who tells you otherwise is working from the same photos you are. What we can check is narrower and more useful: whether the photos attached to a listing are consistent with one another, and whether the same seller posts the same item the same way twice. That is a testable claim, and it catches more problems than any label does.

The batch name is the last thing I look at, not the first. If the photos are bad, the label is decoration.

October and November: the snapshot we are standing on

Our current snapshot is dated 2026-11-08. In the shoes category, Black Cat listings sat between roughly $58 and $96 (¥418 to ¥691 at a reference rate of ¥7.20 per $1), with most of the volume between $64 and $80. That band is wider at the top and cheaper at the bottom than January, which is what you would expect from a year that started scarce and ended crowded. Treat every figure as a snapshot price from one day, not a checkout price and not a forecast for next week.

If you are buying now, the timeline says something simple: you are in the crowded part of the year. That is good for your wallet and harder on your attention, because there is more noise to sort through. Our approach is to pick one band, pick three sellers inside it, and compare their photo sets instead of chasing the cheapest listing on the page. oopbuy.sbs is an independent guide. We are not oopbuy.com, we do not sell anything, and we earn a commission when readers use our outbound links.

What a timeline cannot tell you

It cannot tell you what anything is worth next month, it cannot tell you what a batch really is, and it cannot tell you what your checkout total will be. Prices move when sellers restock, shipping lines adjust their fuel surcharges, and the exchange rate does whatever it wants. The one thing a dated record gives you that a forum post does not is the ability to see which claims survive contact with the next month. If your notes stop matching the sheets, the notes were the problem.

Back to the top